SPX sessions closed in positive gamma, with the net-gamma percentile 80 and above, on ISM days

26 sessions · the archive filtered by the dealer book · all sessions · the calendar

26 of 1,122 sessions match. Of them 100% closed above the flip (archive 56%) and the mean open-to-close move was 0.63% (archive 0.59%).

Every row is a finished SPX session and links to its page, where the same numbers stand with the day's events and a free minute-by-minute replay. The filters are the closing measurements those pages print: the zero-gamma flip against the close and the open, the net-gamma percentile, how often the flip was crossed, and the calendar event the day carried. The shares above are counts over the matched days next to the same counts over the whole archive; a share that matches the archive is a base rate, not a pattern.

SessionCloseMoveFlipvs flipPctlCrossEvents
2026-07-067,537.25+0.25%7,532.1+5.1802ISM
2026-06-017,599.70+0.45%7,585.6+14.19519ISM, Housing
2026-04-066,611.25+0.33%6,601.0+10.29022ISM
2025-09-026,415.17+0.60%6,389.6+25.6905ISM, Housing
2025-06-025,935.80+0.69%5,906.6+29.21002ISM, Housing, Fed
2025-04-015,632.60+0.78%5,607.7+24.9856ISM, JOLTS, Housing
2025-02-056,061.34+0.59%6,040.2+21.1958Refunding, VIX settlement, ISM, EIA, Fed
2024-12-046,086.15+0.32%6,073.4+12.7896Housing, VIX settlement, ISM, EIA
2024-11-055,782.72+0.96%5,764.1+18.61000ISM, Auctions
2024-10-035,700.27+0.06%5,692.4+7.910020Housing, Claims, ISM, EIA
2024-07-035,534.72+0.42%5,516.7+18.11000Housing, Claims, VIX settlement, ISM, EIA
2024-07-015,474.70-0.02%5,466.5+8.28516ISM, Housing
2024-02-014,905.95+0.79%4,881.6+24.38510Claims, ISM, Housing, EIA
2023-12-014,593.65+0.76%4,583.5+10.1845ISM, Housing
2023-10-044,263.76+0.57%4,243.4+20.49528Housing, VIX settlement, ISM, EIA
2023-09-064,465.57-0.42%4,463.6+1.98019VIX settlement, ISM
2023-09-014,514.42-0.48%4,512.8+1.68016NFP, ISM, Housing
2023-07-034,454.89+0.27%4,448.9+6.01001ISM, Housing
2023-04-054,090.55-0.10%4,084.8+5.8859VIX settlement, ISM, EIA
2023-04-034,124.42+0.51%4,112.3+12.110011ISM, Housing
2023-03-034,045.96+1.24%4,024.0+21.9900ISM
2023-01-033,824.57-0.83%3,818.1+6.5805ISM, Housing
2022-10-053,780.25+0.84%3,765.4+14.89512VIX settlement, ISM, EIA
2022-07-063,844.71+0.30%3,835.7+9.08030VIX settlement, ISM, JOLTS
2022-07-013,822.85+0.97%3,789.5+33.38520ISM, Housing
2022-05-044,300.15+2.88%4,207.1+93.110011Refunding, VIX settlement, ISM, EIA, FOMC

Turn a filter into a rule

A count is where a question starts. The Lab takes a rule in plain words ("sell the 0DTE straddle at 10:00 on days that opened below the flip with the percentile under 20"), compiles it against every archived session and reports the out-of-sample verdict with day-clustered intervals. An assistant with the MCP server can page through the same archive with list_sessions and get_session.

Measurements are model output derived from public trade and quote data; they are approximations and can be wrong. Nothing here is investment advice; see the Terms.